Is Vote-Buying Effective? A Field Experiment in Sao Tome and Principe

RESEARCH QUESTION

A randomised field experiment was designed and conducted during an election in newly oil-rich Sao Tome and Principe to infer effects of vote-buying on electoral behaviour.

PROJECT

Vote-buying, i.e., cash-for-votes, is a frequent practice during election time in many parts of the world, namely in West Africa. However, in the presence of secret ballots, it is not clear whether and how vote-buying drives voting behaviour. In order to infer effects of vote-buying on electoral behaviour, we designed and conducted a randomised field experiment during an election in newly oil-rich Sao Tome and Principe. We follow a randomized voter education campaign against vote-buying sponsored by the Electoral Commission, using panel-survey measurements as well as actual electoral data per ballot station. Our experimental results show that the campaign reduced the influence of money offered on voting, decreased electoral participation, and favoured the incumbent. This evidence suggests that vote-buying increases voter turnout and that the challenger drives relatively more votes through vote-buying - i.e., that vote-buying counteracts the incumbency advantage.
 

RESEARCHERS

Pedro C. Vicente

University of Oxford

OUTPUT

Is Vote-Buying Effective? Evidence from a Field Experiment in West Africa

Pedro C. Vicente

Economic Journal, Vol. 124, Issue 574, pages F356–F387. Wiley 2014

Supporting Democratic Institutions and Clean and Peaceful Elections

iiG Briefing Paper 09, March 2010

Clientelism and Vote Buying: Lessons from Field Experiments in African Elections

Pedro C. Vicente and Leonard Wantchekon

in Political Economy of Economic Development, Special issue of the Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, 2009

Is Vote Buying Effective? Evidence from a Field Experiment in West Africa

Pedro C. Vicente

BREAD Working Paper 161, Bureau for Research and Economic Analysis of Development, November 2007